Sunday, January 22, 2006

Forex weekly technical analis (EUR/USD)

Last week Forex results.
As i said USD/CAD moved to the resistance level and then went down very quickly, but it was very hard to catch this move so we have to wait fo retracement to catch another bearish wave.

I made +60 pips on this, i hope you made more than that.
This week Forex technical analis.

Look at 1D EUR/USD chart

It is still going up, but is quite close to very strong resistance level.
Take note of MACD and RSI, they both are moving up what indicates bullish move, i drew trendlines on them so you can get better picture of it.
Look also at Fibonacci retracement, 38% level wasn't broken so it is also good news for bulls.

Now let's take a look at 4H chart.


Both MACD and RSI are going down, but trendlines were crossed and it is usually sign of strong bullish move which can take place.

Well there isn't much to talk about nothing is really sure when market is trading but i think it will be good to take LONG position near 38% retracement.

Thursday, January 19, 2006

My Journey to Forex Success!

When I was growing up in my native New England, USA, my parents, like all parents of my generation, focused on the value of obtaining a college education, transitioning into a "good" job and retiring to a comfortable pension. So I went to school, got good grades and transitioned into a that "good" job. Then something happened, something my parents never prepared me for; I was climbing the corporate ladder and realized that my ladder was against the wrong wall! The economy crumbled and even though I was never downsized, I watched friend after friend get told their services were no longer needed. I listened while my friends struggled to come to grips with the anxiety layoffs create, the decision about work and family, and even more important the psychological damage that was being done as my friends discussed their options. This caused me to pause and reflect.

Do we have any control over our futures? That was the question. I came to the conclusion that working for others was turning over the power to control the outcome of our lives to our corporate managers. As glamorous as having a nice career seemed, we were essentially trading hours for dollars and in reality had only minor control over our future. It was then that I realized that I was never satisfied with my career, because in this Information Age we have less control over the outcome of our careers. Change was happening rapidly and it was time to take action. We needed to leverage ourselves or we were going to be leveraged by someone else! The world our parents lived in no longer existed. Pensions are dwindling, 401K's are only a partial solution and no one is training the personal financial skills that are going to be required to flourish in a global economy. That is when I decided to begin replacing my earned income with business and passive income. I decided to exploit 5 wealth vehicles to allow myself to re-gain that control and provide a degree of freedom for myself and my family. Trading currencies is on top of this list.

This blog will take you with me on my journey in leveraging the forex market. The forex market offers great leverage and opportunity to to succeed in any market conditions. There are countless sites that can explore the technical side of the forex market. However, this blog will share the softer side, the side that I have found that few people talk about in great depth, but have the greatest impact on your journey in becoming a successful trader, the mental and educational aspects of currency trading. I screen and publish the information I receive on FX TRADE CENTRAL. You can always email me direct!!!

Join me as my co-pilot in our journey to forex trading success!

Sunday, January 15, 2006

Forex weekly techical analysis

Forex technical analis
I will post here my weekly technical analysis on popular currencies pairs.
Today i will cover USD/CAD so lets get started, look at the daily chart

Forex daily chartNot much to talk about but we can get clear picture of what is going on, this pair is currently heading down and is near the resistance level, so it will be proboably go down as this is very strong resistance (tested many times). Now look at MACD histogram, the divargence is very small it indicates that bull momentum is very weak, so i think USD/CAD will stay bearish.
Now lets look at 4H chart



-Check out trendline, it was hit 3 times so it is quite important trendline
-Now look at Fibbonaci retracemnet last bull move was retraced to 66%, and it looks like this resistance level was strong enough to defend itself
-Look at RSI i put a trendline on it and we can clearly see that RSI is also in bullish trend

So putting it all together i think we will have short term bullish run back to 1.1725+-25 pips and then double top on 4H chart will be formed which ofcourse mean trend reversal and market will become bearish.

Quick fundamental analis.
CAD is strongly correlated with oil price wich is heading up, so CAD will most likely get stronger and stronger, on the other hand USD is also heading up but it is not as strong as CAD is.
So there is high probability of bearish trend.

What to do?
This is what i will do, but keep in mind that no one knows where the market is going so i can easily be wrong.
I will take long position near the resistance level about 1.16 and put stop loss based on 15M chart so you have to do it yourself but i won't make it more than 30pips away from opening price, and i will put take profit somwhere about 100 pips away from open price proboably 1.1725.
When the bullish move will end i will wait for a trend reversal candle (1D chart).

So this is it, waiting for your comments.

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